Using Elliot Wave Theory to Analyze the Stock Market

Some market technicians that use technical analysis to look for a nearing market bottom or market top have noticed over the past several years that the stock market will consistently move in a 5 wave pattern which is based on concepts from Elliott Wave Theory. When the stock market is trending upward a 5 wave pattern consists of 3 separate moves upward and 2 separate moves downward before a top occurs. Meanwhile when the stock market is trending downward a 5 wave pattern consists of 3 separate moves downward and 2 separate moves upward before a bottom occurs.

Let’s take a look at the Nasdaq and S&P 500 and analyze their one year charts using concepts from Elliot Wave Theory. Notice how both the Nasdaq and S&P 500 made a bottom in late July of 2002 (points A) and then made 3 separate moves upward (A to 1, 2 to 3 and 4 to 5) followed by 2 separate moves downward (1 to 2 and 3 to 4) before topping out in late August after completing a 5 wave pattern.

Now notice what happened from late August until early October of 2002 as the Nasdaq and S&P 500 made 3 separate moves to the downside (5 to 1, 2 to 3 and 4 to 5) and 2 separate moves to the upside (1 to 2 and 3 to 4) before making a bottom in early October after completing a 5 wave pattern.

Meanwhile lets continue using Elliot Wave Theory an trace out the 5 wave pattern from early October of 2002 until early December of 2002 when the stock market made a top. Notice there were 3 separate moves to the upside (5 to 1, 2 to 3 and 4 to 5) and 2 separate moves to the downside (1 to 2 and 3 to 4) as well.

After the Nasdaq and S&P 500 topped out in early December they formed another 5 wave pattern as they made a bottom in mid March of 2003. Once again there were 3 downside moves (5 to 1, 2 to 3 and 4 to 5) and 2 upside moves (1 to 2 and 3 to 4) before the 5 wave pattern was completed in mid March.

Now I’m not an expert in Elliot Wave Theory but it looks to me that the Nasdaq and S&P 500 may be nearing the completion of another 5 wave pattern with a potential stock market top coming into play. Notice there have been 3 upside moves (5 to 1, 2 to 3 and 4 to 5) and 2 downside moves (1 to 2 and 3 to 4) since mid March through late May of 2003.

Forex Technical Analysis

The difference between forex technical and forex fundamental analysis is that forex technical analysis ignores fundamental factors and is applied only to the price action of the market. Forex technical analysis primarily consists of a variety of forex technical studies, each of which can be interpreted to predict market direction or to generate buy and sell signals. The technical analysis works by correlating the results and moves of current markets to create a short-term outlook for currencies. The rolling data that is produced throughout the trading day creates the interest in the markets and informs traders of the strong markets to back.

The Trend is Your Friend

Forex technical analysis is largely based around forex market movement trends, thus creating the widely used phrase ’the trend is your friend’ amongst traders. Buying and selling at the right time is the key in maintaining good levels of profits, following a trend is also about knowing where to entry a trade and more importantly where to exit.

Support and Resistance

Support and resistance is the basic of forex technical analysis. Support and resistance levels are points where a chart experiences recurring upward or downward pressure. A support level is usually the low point in any chart pattern (hourly, weekly or annually), whereas a resistance level is the high or the peak point of the pattern. Buying and selling at the support and resistance points makes a greater profit margin as long as they remain unbroken.

History Tends To Repeat Itself

Another important idea in technical analysis is that history tends to repeat itself, mainly in terms of price movement. The repetitive nature of price movements is attributed to market psychology; in other words, market participants tend to provide a consistent reaction to similar market stimuli over time. Forex technical analysis uses chart patterns to analyze forex market movements and understand trends. Although many of these charts have been used for more than 30 years, they are still believed to be relevant because they illustrate patterns in price movements that often repeat themselves.

Pivot Points

Those of you who have been trading for a while will be familiar with Pivot Points. During this lesson I want to go over how to find a Pivot Point and also a slightly different method of using them. First let’s look at how you calculate a Pivot Point.

Using a bar chart you will observe that each bar has an Open, High, Low and Close. This information represents all price activity during that particular period.

In the case of the following example, we shall use a daily bar. To calculate the pivot point all you need to do is add the High, Low and Close. Once this has been done you next divide the total by three, e.g. the cash FTSE on the 2nd May 02 had a High of 5192.70, a low of 5125.50, and a close of 5174.10. If you add the three together, you get 15492.3. You then divide that total by three to get a Pivot Point of 5164.10.

OK, so far so good, but what do you do with this information? Well, one technique I like to use intra day is to use the pivot point as a trend indicator. We already know that the Pivot Point for the 2nd May was 5164.10 and we will use this the next day as an intra day trend indicator.

If the price is above 5164.10, then I would only be long and if it were below 5164.10, I would only be short.

As price can fluctuate around any given point I also add a further proviso. If I have support close to 5164.10, I will first wait for the price to pass through 5164.10 and support before entering short. If I have resistance close to 5164.10, I will first wait for the price to move through the Pivot Point and resistance before entering long.

This method becomes even more powerful when the Pivot Point is close to the opening price. If, for example, the opening price is 5174.10, the Pivot Point is 5164.10, and I eventually go short at 5155, I can stay short the whole day as long as it does not go above the Pivot Point.

Once in a position I normally have a very tight stop to begin with and then will follow the market with a trailing stop to lock in profits.

Another way I like to add Pivot Points to my analysis is for more long-term projections. I will use the Pivot Point of a Yearly, Monthly and Weekly chart. In this case it would be the High, Low and Close of the previous Year, Month and Week.

I like to think of the weekly Pivot Point as the short-term trend, the monthly as the medium term trend and the Yearly as the long-term trend. I find this particularly useful in Spot Forex. If I am below the yearly, monthly and weekly Pivot Point, I know I am in a strong down trend and I can scale into multiple positions over time. The same holds true for long positions.

The point is there are many ways to determine trend. You can also use Pivot Point to find potential Support and Resistance, which we will cover in later lessons.

Experiment with Pivot Points and see if it suits your trading style. At the very least it is always handy to know where they are and it may help you decide which side of the market you should be trading from.

What is a Pivot Point and why should investors focus on them ?

A Pivot Point resides near the top of a trading range as a stock is developing a Handle. The proper time to buy a stock is when it begins to break above its Pivot Point and is accompanied by increasing volume.

Here are some Examples

EBAY formed a 1 year Cup and then developed a 6 week Handle with a trading range between $65 and $71. The top of the trading range was near $71 which acted as the Pivot Point for EBAY. EBAY eventually broke above its Pivot Point in early January accompanied by an in increase in volume (point A).

Another example is shown by ERES which formed a 1 1/2 year Cup followed by the development of an 8 week Handle with a trading range between $10 and $11. In this case the top of the trading range was near $11 which served as the Pivot Point. ERES broke above its Pivot Point in April of 2002 accompanied by very strong volume (point B).

Another example is of HITK which formed a 1 1/2 year Cup followed by a 5 week Handle (point C) with a trading range between $9 and $11. In this example the top of the trading range was near $11 which served as the Pivot Point. HITK eventually broke above its Pivot Point in November of 2002 accompanied by an increasing in volume as well (point D).

As you can see the best time to purchase a stock is when it begins to break out of a favorable chart pattern such as the "Cup and Handle" and above its Pivot Point accompanied by increasing volume.

Forex Software - Choosing the Best

When it comes to forex trading the forex software you choose is essential. There are so many forex trading companies all competing for your business that choosing the right forex software can be quite a difficult task. Most of the forex software products available offers live online forex trading platforms but what other components are vital when it comes to your forex software.

Key Elements For Your Forex Software

Before purchasing any forex software there are a few essential items that should be included. The most important is security and your online forex trading software should include a 128 bit SSL encryption which will prevent hackers from accessing any of your personal details and information such as your account balance, transaction history, etc.

Providing the best security for your forex trading will include a company that provides 24 hour technical server support for your forex software, 24 hour maintenance should anything go wrong, daily backups of all information, and a security system that has been designed to prevent any unauthorized access. Along with these security protocols there are also some forex trading companies that use smart cards and fingerprint scanners to ensure that only their employees can have access to their servers.

Another important factor when it comes to choosing your forex software is to check what the company’s downtime is like. When it comes to trading forex and particularly your online forex trading you need to ensure that the forex software you choose is reliable and available 24 hours a day. The forex software you choose for your forex trading should also have technical support available at all times should your session be cut short.

Ensuring that all the above features are listed in the forex software you choose will help to ensure your forex trading success.

Forex trading basics

Forex Market Basics

The Foreign Exchange market (also referred to as the Forex, FX market, "Cash" Forex or Spot Forex market ) is the largest financial market in the world, with more than $1.5 trillion changing hands every day — 30 times larger than the combined volume of all U.S. equity markets. Another major feature of the Forex market is that it operates 24 hours a day, corresponding to the opening and closing of financial centers in countries all across the world, starting each day in Sydney, then Tokyo, London and New York. At any time, in any location, there are buyers and sellers, making the Forex market the most liquid market in the world.

What to trade in Forex Market?

In the forex market, currency trading is always done in currency pairs, such as EUR/USD or GBP/USD. Accordingly, all trades result in the simultaneous buying of one currency and the selling of another. The base currency is the "basis" for the buy or the sell. It is useful to consider the currency pair as an instrument, which can be bought or sold.

Understanding Forex quote

* Base currency: The first currency in the pair.
* Counter Currency: The second currency in the pair. Also known as the terms currency.

The US dollar is the centerpiece of the Forex market and is normally considered the ’base’ currency for quotes. This includes USD/JPY, USD/CHF and USD/CAD. For these currencies and many others, quotes are expressed as a unit of $1 USD per the second currency quoted in the pair. For example, a quote of USD/CAD 1.1302 means that one U.S. dollar is equal to 1.1302 Canadian dollar.

BID and ASK Prices

When trading forex you will often see a two-sided quote, consisting of a ’bid’ and ’ask’. The ’bid’ is the price at which you can sell the base currency (at the same time buying the counter currency). The ’ask’ is the price at which you can buy the base currency (at the same time selling the counter currency).

Commission-free, but with spreads

Most Forex brokers offer commission-free Forex trading. Spread - The difference between the bid and ask price of a currency. Normally 3-5 pips on the Majors.

Rollover - What happens to my open positions at the end of the trading day?

Process whereby the settlement of a deal is rolled forward to another value date. The cost of this process is based on the interest rate differential of the two currencies. Most brokers will automatically roll over your open positions, allowing you to hold a position for an indefinite period of time.

Leverage & Margin

The leverage available in forex trading is one of main attractions for many traders. Leveraged trading, or trading on margin, simply means that you are not required to put up the full value of the position. Forex brokers provide more leverage than stocks or futures. In forex trading, the amount of leverage available can be up to 400 times the value of your account.

Forex Fundamental Analysis

Here we look at some of the major Forex fundamental factors that play a role in the movement of a currency:

Economic Indicators

Economic indicators are reports released by the government or a private organization that detail a country’s economic performance. These economic indicators can be released on a weekly basis, but the more common report is monthly. Indicators are based around a number of economical situations, of which the two primary factors are that of International trade and Interest. Subsidiary factors also include Consumer Price Index (CPI), Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), Durable goods orders, retail sales and Producer Price Index (PPI).

Currency’s Interest Rates

One of the major indicator factors, Interest rates, are a key economic function of any nation. Generally, when a country raises its interest rates, the country’s currency will strengthen in relation to other currencies as assets are shifted to gain a higher return. Interest rates hikes, however, are usually not good news for stock markets. This is due to the fact that many investors will withdraw money from a country’s stock market when there is a hike of interest rates.

International Trade

The trade balance portrays the net difference (over a period of time) between the imports and exports of a nation. A trade deficit can be an economic disaster for a government and a currency. A deficit may appear when a country is importing more than it is exporting, meaning that more money is leaving and less is coming in. In some ways, however, a trade deficit in and of itself is not necessarily a bad thing. A deficit is only negative if the deficit is greater than market expectations and therefore will trigger a negative price movement.

The Seven Most Traded Currencies in FOREX

Currencies are traded in dollar amounts called “lots”. One lot is equal to $1,000, which controls $100,000 in currency. This is what is known as the "margin". You can control $100,000 worth of currency for only 1,000 dollars. This is what is called “High Leverage”.

Currencies are always traded in pairs in the FOREX. The pairs have a unique notation that expresses what currencies are being traded. The symbol for a currency pair will always be in the form ABC/DEF. ABC/DEF is not a real currency pair, it is an example of a symbol for a currency pair. In this example ABC is the symbol for one countries currency and DEF is the symbol for another countries currency.

Here are some of the common symbols used in the Forex:

USD - The US Dollar EUR - The currency of the European Union "EURO" GBP - The British Pound JPN - The Japanese Yen CHF - The Swiss Franc AUD - The Australian Dollar CAD - The Canadian Dollar

There are symbols for other currencies as well, but these are the most commonly traded ones.

A currency can never be traded by itself. So you can not ever trade a EUR by itself. You always need to compare one currency with another currency to make a trade possible.

Some of the common PAIRS are:

EUR/USD Euro / US Dollar "Euro"

USD/JPY US Dollar / Japanese Yen "Dollar Yen"

GBP/USD British Pound / US Dollar "Cable"

USD/CAD US Dollar / Canadian Dollar "Dollar Canada"

AUD/USD Australian Dollar/US Dollar "Aussie Dollar"

USD/CHF US Dollar / Swiss Franc "Swissy"

EUR/JPY Euro / Japanese Yen "Euro Yen"

The listed currency pairs above look like a fraction. The numerator (top of the fraction or "left" of the / however you want to SEE it) is called the base currency. The denominator (bottom of the fraction or "right" of the /however you want to SEE it) is called the counter currency. When you place an order to buy the EUR/USD, for instance, you are actually buying the EUR and selling the USD. If you were to sell the pair, you would be selling the EUR and buying the USD. So if you buy or sell a currency PAIR, you are buying/selling the base currency. You are always doing the opposite of what you did with to base currency with the counter currency.

If this seems confusing then you’re in luck. You can always get by with just thinking of the entire pair as one item. Then you are just buying or selling that one item. Thinking like this will still enable you to place trades. You only need to be aware of the base/counter concept for Fundamental Analysis issues.

So why is it important to know about the base/counter currency? The base/counter currency concept illustrates what is actually taking place in a Forex transaction. Some of you reading this, know that short-selling was restricted in the stock market *(Short-selling is where you sell a stock/currency/option/commodity first and then try to buy it back at a lower price later). But in the FOREX you are always buying one currency (base) and selling another (counter). If you sell the pair you are simply flipping which one you buy and which one you sell. The transaction is essentially the same. This allows you to short-sell with no restrictions.

You want to be able to short-sell with no restrictions so you can make money when the market drops as well as when it rises. The problem with traditional stock market trading is that the market has to go up for you to make money. With FOREX trading you can make money in all directions.

How to Win the Forex Battle

Every trading activity is in fact participating in a battle. Winning the battle is a matter of knowledge, skill and experience. If you miss any of those you are going to join the long line of losers. Some says that 95 to 99 percent of the traders are lining up on the loser’s side.

How to win the battle in the currency market? It is easy to answer that question, based on the above approach – prepare yourself for the battle. If you treat currency market activity as a hobby you’ll ultimately lose all investments there. If you treat it as a business you still may loose everything.

The correct approach is: consider each pressing of the Buy/Sell button as entering a battlefield. If you enter it without having a knowledge, skill and experience on how to win, you are destined to fail. You may have some lucky trades in the beginning, though. That, by the way, is the worst case scenario for the rookie in trading.

The earlier you get your “bad” lessons, the better for your overall experience. No mater how good you consider yourself prepared, after demo trading lessons, you have no idea of the forces ruling on the real market.

In fact the worst enemy you are going to face in the very beginning is not hiding behind the walls of the global currency trading centers. Your most dangerous foe is hiding deep inside of you. That enemy is so powerful that you will be amazed how quickly it will wash away all your carefully considered decision.

No one has been able to evade the force of that destructive power. No one can understand or realize that force unless it has been confronted face to face. Start trading with real money and you will face it too. Fear, Greed or Hope are some of the names of that power.

Fear forces you to sell near the bottom and buy near the top. Greed forces you to get out of the market prematurely. Hope will keep in the trade until you loose everything. Fear may save you but hope may wreck you completely. Greed will never make you rich.

It is easy to give advice to trade without emotions and use the logic, only. How you can achieve that if you never have been there. You need to go through that turmoil, pick up your loses due to your emotional decisions and than analyze.

Study all your “bad” trades, because they are the most precious gifts on the way to proficiency in trading. Growing as an experienced trader is possible only after getting your losses in the beginning. Then sit down and carefully study the lessons they brought to you.

One thing traders never want to do is to admit of being wrong. The market is a constantly changing and it demands flexibility in taking decision. That implies monitoring and constantly adjusting, changing your decision and action. When your logical analyzes suggest that you are wrong – get out, quickly.

Once you overcome the emotions, concentrate on developing your signature way of trading. You can start with following different advisors and system and picking from them the things you like. Demo trade and test your ideas until you find the trade system which is matching completely your personality.

Now, you have to go back to emotion in a controlled way. Every time your system suggests a trade look inside you and see how you feel about this trade. You feel bad – discard it. If you feel good – keep it.

Here comes the final step: Looking for the final approval sign before submitting the trade. Here is the time, where the mastership shows up. Your weapon is loaded, the target is clearly seen on the visor and the finger is on the trigger. You have to make that final exhale, get the target over the cross point and shoot it.

How much knowledge, skill, experience and patience you need to build within in order to reach that very final stage of trading proficiency? Only you’ll know that and only you can do it. The rest is just numbers in your bank account.

Building a fortune by trading currency is not a mirage in the desert of live. There are hundreds of traders who are making living of that business and you can do it too. Study all you can find on the net and follow the steps of the best if you want to win that battle.

The Forex Demo Account

The Value Of Simulated Forex Trading To Currency Trading Success

As a novice you will probably begin trading by opening a Forex demo account and your first few trades will be paper trades, or simulated Forex trading, as you learn how the market works and how to use some of the trading tools. It is not long however before you are ready to move on and to put your paper trading days behind you. But is it such a good idea to leave paper trading behind you? Many successful Forex traders today are discovering that continuing to trade on paper from time to time can be both helpful and profitable. Problems often arise for traders when they find themselves with a losing trade. Despite the fact that losing trades are an everyday part of trading life, you are always going to be affected by a trading loss and there is often a strong, albeit often subconscious, urge to recoup the money you have just lost as fast as possible. This frequently means that you go right back into the market but, because you are in a losing frame of mind, your next trade often also results in a loss or a less than spectacular gain. For many traders the answer to this problem is to follow a losing trade with a paper trade. In this case you trade seriously and in exactly the same way that you would trade normally but run the trade on paper. You study the market indicators, open a trading position, put a stop loss order in place and then track the trade. As the trade progresses you move your stop loss order as the market moves and, finally, you close out your position when your market indicators tell you to do so. This paper trade might result in a profit or a loss but, as the trade is only being made on paper, it doesn’t matter one way or the other. The importance of this trade is that it allows you to clear your mind and to put your previous losing trade behind you. Even if this paper trade results in a loss the affect is positive because you are happy knowing that you have not actually lost any money. Having run this paper trade you are now ready to leave the world of simulated Forex trading and return to live trading and can open a new trading position in a winning frame of mind.

Signs a Stock is Set to Plummet

Nobody has said it in so many words, but we are at the closing stages of the recession. In a time when the market is going to rise and fall as it stabilizes, it is central to recognize when a stock is about to stagger. Everyone knows the essentials. Pass up investing in companies that create sub par earnings, has frail cash flow, or a less than ample balance sheet. On the other hand, there are other nasty characteristics a stock can retain that will drop it into the toilet in rainy economic weather. Keep an eye out for these other symptoms that illustrate an landslide ahead.

It is not uncommon for a company to reduce their earnings guidance. That can happen for a number of typical reasons that happen in the cycle a company goes through: slightly dropped earnings, a damaged economy, etc. Just make certain that the corporation in question clears the bar they set in that quarter. Why is that? Of course you are more concerned about the value of the stock than the revenue earned from them. Regrettably, some shareholders, particularly those with controlling interest are so worried about the revenue coming in and the performance of the company that value will go downward as people sell for poorer and lower prices to get out if they do not have faith in the supervision of the corporation.

It is also not unusual for insiders at a company to sell off some shares, particularly if life changes they are undertaking involve quick funds. Other times, you may be looking at an insider that just wants to make some speedy income or vary their holdings. Now and then if a bunch of executives all distribute of some of their shares at one time, you are looking at a disastrous future. You start to wonder, What do they know that I am not aware of? Be very wary of executives selling at or near their low points. That tells you the executives think their money is better somewhere else, and yours very well may be too.

One more signal that a stock may be in dilemma is when a company abruptly discontinues its guidance toward the investment industry. This may signal that the company has no idea or belief to have an idea of when earnings could come in. This may also have a slight signal in the way of product or service diversification. The company and its stockholders are in danger if the company cannot keep up with the accelerating market and/or does not come up with original, original products or services to keep up or stay at the forefront of the industry. You do not want to invest in a company that is gambling all their funds on one horse.

Keep an eye on industry trends as well. Sometimes the nature of the industry at that minute can impact that one company and its competitors at the same time. For example, General Motors, Chrysler and Ford all came down with the same sickness at the same time, due to the same amount overdue and the same mistakes. That was the time all GM, Chrysler and Ford stockholders bailed at once, and correctly so. Investors with a sharp eye that receive good, up-to-date news and suggestions from a website like this one may be able to limit or prevent losses just by watching these early signs.

Forex Trading - 3 Power Strategies

If you want to catch the serious profit in forex dealing you need to trend watch forex trends which are worse term. here we are going to give you a 3 step simple method which if you use it correctly, will help you catch every superior forex trend and lead you to long-term term currency dealing success.

Most beginner traders don't bother trying to trend following forex lengthier term - instead they try forex scalping or day trading. These methods focus the trader on small moves and they hope to catch small profit however as most short term moves are random, this leads to equity eliminate.

The other alternatives are swing trading and long term forex trend following and this article is all about the latter method. If you look at any forex chart, you will see long-term term trends that last for months or years. These moves can and do yield serious profit - present we will outline a simple method to get them.

Breakouts

By far the best way of catching the serious moves is to use a forex dealing strategy based around breakouts. A breakout is simply a move on a forex chart where a new high or low is made and resistance or support is broken.

It's a fact that most leading moves start from new highs or lows.

While it might appear that you are not buying or selling at the greatest level, you are in terms of the odds of the trend continuing. Most forex traders make the mistake of waiting for the breakout to come back and get in at a better price but these traders never get on board. The grounds for this is if a breakout occurs, then you have a new strong trend and a pullback is not very likely to occur.

Most traders don't buy or sell breakouts and that's exactly why it's such a powerful method.

The only point to keep in mind is a support or resistance which is ruined, should be valid and that means at least 3 points in at least 2 different times frames. The more tests and the greater the spacing between the tests the more valid the level is.

Confirmation

Of course not every breakout keeps and some reverse, these are false and can cause losses. You therefore need to confirm each move. All you need to do to achieve this is to put a few momentum indicators in your forex trading system to confirm your dealing signal.

These indicators give you an estimation of the strength and velocity of price and there are many to choose from. We don't have time to discuss them here (simply look up our other articles) but two of the greatest are - the stochastic and Relative Strength Index RSI

Stops and Targets

Stop points are easy with breakouts - Simply behind the breakout point.

If you have a serious trend then you need to be careful you can milk it, so don't move your stop to soon and keep it outside of normal volatility. If it is a huge move, trailing stops should be held a long-term way back and the 40 day moving average is a good level to use.

You have to keep in mind that when the trend does eventually turn you are going to give some profit back. You don't know when the trend is going to end, so don't predict.

It's ok to give a serious back, as that's the nature of trading forex. Keep in mind if you got 50% of all leading trend you would be very rich. When you are long-term term trend following you have accept giving a bit back and taking dips in open equity as the trend develops - this is noise and does not affect the long term trend.

The above is a simple way to trend watch forex and catch the high odds moves that yield the serious profit. If you are learning forex dealing and want a simple method that is robust and will help you get every major move, then you should base your dealing on the above method.

Trade Forex Online: Factors to consider

The value of a country's currency is influenced by a number of factors: The economics of the country, its trade deficit, political and social environment.

If the current government's deficit increases, its currency's value will fall. As the government decreases its deficit, the currency can begin to recover value and the exchange rate will become more favorable. The same relationship holds true with a country's trade deficit. If the country imports more goods and services than it exports it will have a negative influence on the currency.

Inflation lessens the ability of a unit of currency to buy less and less, so the currency loses value. If the inflation becomes rampant the currency is valued less because it's also viewed as unstable. As the rate of inflation begins to decline the currency begins to increase in value.

Politics and social changes can play havoc with the currency exchange rates. Changes in the regime that are viewed negatively can lower the value of the country's currency in the short term and continue into the long term. If the present government makes decisions that are looked at negatively it can decrease the currency value as well. The opposite can happen. Current government officials can make policy changes that are viewed positively by the rest of the world and that can increase the value of the currency.

For the United States, interest rates and the price of oil can have a major impact on the value of the US dollar.

Interest rates effect how much it's going to cost to borrow money and how much can be earned on investments. Historically if the US raises its interest rates it attracts foreign investors. Those investors have to sell their own currency in order to buy U.S. dollars to purchase treasury bonds. If the interest begins to drop, or the perception is that the rates won't rise any more, investors may purchase Euros as an alternative investment which lowers the value of the US dollar.

The United States is dependent on foreign oil production. Many US industries are dependent on oil and an increase in the price of oil means an increase in their expenses and a drop in profits. In a similar way, a country's dependency on oil influences how the country's currency is valued and will be impacted by changes in oil prices. The US's dependency on oil makes the dollar more sensitive to oil prices than countries who aren't so dependent. As the price of oil increases the value of the dollar drops.

Master the Number 1 Forex Dealing Platform: Mt4 platform

Most Forex dealers tender this platform to their clients, in adding up to their own error contaminated and quality lacking programs they urbanized causing traders to practically lose cash by the time they learn how to employ it. Mastering mt4 is a duty do firstly on training accounts to keep away from losing capital in the live account. Important running advice that can barely go over a page can hoard you a fortune in probable losses due to lack of information of this platform. Each Forex broker must have his own kind of Metatrader dealing platform so it will reveal the broker policy in respect to hedging and margin procedure.

Most attention should be paid to the Metatrader 4 summary line, It provides a trader an idea of what is going on on the account as: Balance means account balance including recent proceeds, but hovering profit/loss not integrated, Equity means same balance but after floating profit/loss integrated, Margin means the amount of your deposit laid out for your open orders, FREE MARGIN is the amount of protection against the market and the amount of your Equity that is not consumed yet, and also not been consumed by your losing positions, When you run out of FREE Margin, one or more of your better positions will be liquidated resulting on brutal loss ! To avoid margin calls do not use more 10% of your buying or selling strength and you should be able to endure normal market conditions, If market is very unpredictable use only 5% of your Free margin. Before you run out of Free Margin you have the choice to slam positions with least losses to Free Margin, After you run out of FREE margin most losing positions will be closed in order to free margin in the account.

A lot of novice traders start with this software by opening a Forex deal without any thought on how to secure the trade. I have seen this happening, There is a switch to open a trade but there is no button to close the trade, because once the trade is shown in the terminal window it can be double clicked to show the close trade switch.
If you choose Metatrader 4 as your trading platform of choice you should do some inquiries on Currencyy trading brokers, download to your computer their Metatrader platforms and try it on virtual accounts. After practicing for few months you should have an outline of the superior brokers so it would be time to evaluate one of these brokers on a small live account, followed by a comparison between the virtual and real accounts of this broker, pay attention to requote requests and times you get tiring trade context errors and no tie errors. Begin your ordinary Forex account with the broker who's practice account mimics the live account paramount. pass up brokers who have big differences between demo and live accounts. No matter how a good trader you turn into, practicing in virtual accounts should be perpetual to master International currency.

The Mt4 now happen to be at release 4 with newer updates coming irregularly from your broker, Version 5 should become offered shortly this annual and is likely to be more than just a revise, it is going to be an immense improvement.

Easy Income Source that can be happening in One Day

Did you ever think about making money in Forex trading as a Business Opportunity? I did and I was let down in the beginning, however, after doing some home effort, I was utterly certain with this brainstorm. I consider my initial losses in Forex nothing but a startup cost that's coupled with any venture you can imagine. Gone forever all my regrets.

One detail that I like about the Fx trading business is that you can rehearsal at no cost for as long as you wish, and one more thing is that you can accumulate as much information regarding as you can possibly come to grips with before you leap into this undertaking. Understanding, preparation and some little startup money is all you need. If you do not hold the latter, or the vital funds to start an account then all you get to do is study to be advantageous in demo account and prove to a wealthy pal of yours to go in dual scheme with you, many are doing this. You control the account for your wealthy acquaintance who's capital is collecting nil but dust someplace even in the bank account your friend's stash would hardly formulate him 5 per cent a year. if you grow to be a victorious Currency trading trader you can brew your buddy this form of gain every solo business day instead of an whole year after you pocket yours. A Forex account director is entitled to more than 30 per cent of all proceeds on original invested funds.
You can be taught Forex trading by visiting unbiased resources that provide loads of information in relation to Currency trading all at no charge, you can get the ready demonstrated system or wait until you develop yours.

One such prepared systems that you can go ahead and grab it to relegate the time needed to grow to be a triumphant international currency trader is the Forexbody system. This technique is so effortless that anyone without even the slightest idea about Fx trading can learn, first by visiting the helpful unprejudiced information and watching the free videos on the forexbody website. Special lexis about the Forexbody videos, these measures are not for babypips boys and kids, these videos give you an idea about strikingly very hard-hitting forex trading that can only be done by those who have become very good at the game well. Picture an account equity increased twice the original size in 7 minutes, yes real videos on Forexbody website illustrate just exactly this sort of drudgery, but on the other hand over, as student you get cautious guidance on the site and instructions on trading the stress-free mode to achievement.
The website has Currency trading signal by sms that you can take a crack at for free. the signal has a success rate of over 94% and if you are to be contented with just the great 10 pip yield limit per trade the success rate would exceed 96 %. Even trades that turn out to be losers go round to winners when given time. There a large quantity of information on how to be thriving using Forexbody twice a day signal and there are 10 rules you have to bear by and according to Forexbody author, you can double your account every 45 days with low risk trading behavior. all you need is self discipline and a resilient will to tug the trigger instantly upon receiving trading signal.

To be able to sustain never-ending returns you need to put into practice the low risk methodology, with this tactic a small account can be on track and full-grown over the time of 4 to 6 months to a acceptable mass where it can engender as much as $3000 in steady earnings, once more without enchanting lofty risks, while leaving room for further increase for additional and unrestricted expansion in takings.

The Conclusion, If you ever thought about having your own business and working from the comfort of your own house, you got to give this a stab, It will not cost you any money to test all on implicit accounts that you can get free from hundreds of Forex brokers All over the world, but you have possibility to be your own boss in a short time and the attempt on achieving the American desire, stop commuting and throw that dress rules away.

Painless Business Opportunity that can be happening in few Hours

Did you ever consider making money in Forex trading as a home based business? I did and I was let down embarking, however, after doing some home effort, I was absolutely certain with this brainstorm. I consider my initial losses in Fx trading nothing but a startup expense that's linked with any venture you can think of. Not here forever all my sorrows.

One affair that I like about the Fx trading business is that you can rehearsal at no cost for as long as you desire, and one more feature is that you can pull together as much information about as you can perhaps cope with before you leap into this venture. Understanding, practice and some slight startup funds is all you need. If you do not cover the last, or the necessary capital to set up an account then all you have to do is study to be gainful in demo account and convert a wealthy comrade of yours to go in mutual undertaking with you, many are doing this. You supervise the account for your rich associate who's wealth is gathering nothing but dust someplace even in the bank account your friend's savings would barely make him 4% a year. if you develop into a profitable Currency trading trader you can make your friend this type of yield every solo business day instead of an entire year after you capture yours. A Currency trading account administrator is at liberty to have more than 30 % of all returns on original invested capital. You can gain knowledge of Forex trading by visiting unbiased websites that endow with loads of information regarding Currency trading all for free, you can get the ready established approach or wait until you develop yours.

One such set trading methods that you can go ahead and take hold of it to diminish the time required to turn out to be a thriving currency trader is the Forexbody procedure. This approach is so unfussy that anyone without even the slightest clue about Forex can be taught, first by browsing the valuable neutral information and watching the free Metatrader screen recordings on the forexbody website. Particular lexis about the Forexbody metatrader screen recordings, these measures are not for babypips guys and girls, these videos demonstrate remarkably very hard-hitting forex trading that can only be done by those who have become very good at the game well. Picture an account made twice larger in 30 minutes, yes screen recordings on Forexbody site illustrate just precisely this breed of exertion, but on the other hand, as tyro you get careful guidance on the site and recommendations on trading the easy mode to achievement.

The website has Currency trading signal by sms that you can evaluate for free. the signal has a victory rate of over 93% and if you are to be fulfilled with just the eminent 10 pip yield limit per deal the success rate would exceed 98 %. Even trades that turn out to be losers revolve to winners when given enough time. There a abundance of information on how to be thriving using Forexbody two times a day signal and there are 10 rules you have to abide by and according to Forexbody source, you can twofold your account every 45 days with low risk trading habits. all you need is self discipline and a robust will to tug the trigger immediately upon getting trading signal.

To be able to meet with ceaseless earnings you need to instigate the low risk approach, with this strategy a small account can be on track and full-grown over the period of 4 to 6 months to a decent amount where it can engender as much as $3000 in unbroken take-home pay, another time without taking piercing risks, while parting room for further expansion for further and unlimited upsurge in income.

The Wrapping up, If you ever thought about having your own business and working from the soothe of your own residence, you got to give this a test, It will not cost you any money to test the whole lot on virtual accounts that you can get free from plenty of Fx trading brokers worldwide, but you have possibility to be your own boss in a short time and the attempt on achieving the American ambition, stop commuting and fling that dress rules away.

Techniques for Advanced Forex Trading

Forex is a potential platform for earning substantial profit. In fact it is one of the largest trading markets of the world. Featuring an average daily trade of US$ 2 trillion and above, this market is best known for its high scale trading volume and intense liquidity. Adding to this, today with the advancement of technology it can be done from anywhere of the world. Backed up by world-wide web, you can easily trade in the forex market at the comfort of your own home. However, it is important to understand that fx trading is based hugely on speculation. You must be smart enough to guess exactly when the rate of a certain currency pair will rise and go down, and then buy or sell based on that. Indeed it is said that if you learn to study the speculation of this market, you will have a better chance of getting profit.

Today, it is more advanced and turned into an active investment arena, where only a factual understanding of the intricacies and complexities can make your capital grow every day. Moreover, like any other business, it also involves some amount of risks. There is no shot fx trading technique for success in the currency trading market, but there are some well-known techniques that can assist you formulate a good advanced foreign exchange trading strategy. Here are few essential techniques that can help you cut your losses and increases profits:

Forex Scalping: It is a latest technique of trading where profits are taken after relatively small moves in the forex market. It is a technique where trading is done over small time frames, and smaller profits are taken more frequently. As the position exposed to the market is shorter, it automatically reduces the risk of adverse market events causing the price to go against the trade. It is a different approach to most other forex strategies, but still requires you to analyze the market to ensure that the set up for a trade is present. This type of trading greatly appeals to day traders and those who look to reduce the risk involved in trading currencies.

Forex Hedging: It is a technique that helps in reducing some of the risk involved in holding an open forex position. It decreases the risk by taking both sides of a trade at once. If your broker allows it, a simple way to hedge is just to initiate a long and a short position on the same pair. Advanced traders sometimes use two different pairs to make one hedge, but that can get very complicated.

It is important to understand that much of the risk involved in holding any forex position is market risk; i.e. if the market falls sharply, your losses may escalate dramatically. So if you have an open Forex position with fine projection but you think the currency pair may reverse against you, it is advised to hedge your position.

Forex Position Trading: Forex position trading approach is yet another trouble-free technique to boost your position size without increasing your risk. This trading tactic is very effective with mini lots. The major highlight with this technique is that - with forex position trading your exposure to the market is less and so therefore is no need to monitor the market continuously. Moreover, you may even earn profit with negligible loss that can further boost your trading confidence. For Example- you might make a short trade on EUR/USD at 1.40. If the pair is ultimately trending lower, but happens to retrace up, and you take another short at say 1.42, your average position would be 1.41. Once the EUR/USD drops back below 1.41, you will be back in overall profit.

Today forex trading is all about watching your options when you make a trade. Aside from using effective risk management and extreme vigilance, advanced trading can be an alternate way to make profits and control losses. Nevertheless, these above mentioned advanced trading techniques are more about using the market behavior to your advantage. Utilizing these advanced techniques can give you the edge from other average trader.

The Foreign Exchange Market Differs From The Stock Market

The alien interchange market is likewise known as the FX market, and the forex market. Syndication that takes place amongst two regions with dissimilar currencies is the basis for the fx market and the background of the Syndication in this market. The forex market is over thirty years old, traditionalistic in the early 1970's. The forex market is one that is not grounded on any one business or laying out money in any one business, but the retail and retail of currencies.

The divergence amongst the stock market and the forex market is the tremendous retail that occurs on the forex market. There is millions and millions that are traded daily on the forex market, almost two trillion dollars is traded daily. There is is much higher than the cash traded on the daily stock market of any country. The forex market is one that involves governments, banks, financial foundations and those similar types of foundations from other countries. The

What is traded, purchased and sold on the forex market is a thing that can easily be liquidated, meaning it can be turned back to cash fast, or often times it is really going to be cash. From one currency to another, the accessibility of cash in the forex market is a thing that can take place fast for any investor from any country.

The divergence amongst the stock market and the forex market is that the forex market is worldwide, worldwide. The stock market is a thing that takes place only within a country. The stock market is grounded on businesses and products that are within a country, and the forex market takes that a step farther to include any country.

The stock market has set business hours. In general, this is going to follow the business day, and will be closed on banking holidays and weekends. The forex market is one that is open in general twenty four hours a day because the tremendous number of countries that have part in forex retail, buying and retail are located in galore dissimilar times zones. As one market is opening, another countries market is closing. This is the continual method of how the forex market retail occurs.

The stock market in any country is going to be grounded on only that countries currency, say as an illustration the Japanese yen, and the Japanese stock market, or the United States stock market and the dollar. However, in the forex market, you're involved with galore types of countries, and galore currencies. You will find references to a variety of currencies, and this is a big divergence amongst the stock market and the forex market